Analysts discuss latest IT spending outlook during Gartner Webinar
Worldwide IT spending is projected to total $3.5 trillion in 2017, a 2.4 percent increase from 2016, according to Gartner. This growth rate is up from the previous quarter’s forecast of 1.4 percent, due to the U.S. dollar decline against many foreign currencies.
“Digital business is having a profound effect on the way business is done and how it is supported,” said John-David Lovelock, vice president and distinguished analyst at Gartner. “The impact of digital business is giving rise to new categories; for example, the convergence of “software plus services plus intellectual property.” These next-generation offerings are fueled by business and technology platforms that will be the driver for new categories of spending. Industry-specific disruptive technologies include the Internet of Things (IoT) in manufacturing, blockchain in financial services (and other industries), and smart machines in retail. The focus is on how technology is disrupting and enabling business.”
The Gartner Worldwide IT Spending Forecast is the leading indicator of major technology trends across the hardware, software, IT services and telecom markets. For more than a decade, global IT and business executives have been using these highly anticipated quarterly reports to recognize market opportunities and challenges, and base their critical business decisions on proven methodologies rather than guesswork.
Table 1. Worldwide IT Spending Forecast (Billions of U.S. Dollars)
| 2016 Spending | 2016 Growth (%) | 2017 Spending | 2017
Growth (%) |
2018 Spending | 2018 Growth (%) | |
| Data Center Systems | 170 | -0.3 | 171 | 0.3
|
173 | 1.2 |
| Enterprise Software | 326
|
5.3
|
351 | 7.6 | 381 | 8.6 |
| Devices | 630 | -2.4 | 654 | 3.8 | 677 | 3.6 |
| IT Services | 894 | 3.2 | 922 | 3.1 | 966 | 4.7 |
| Communications Services | 1,374 | -1.3 | 1,378 | 0.3 | 1,400 | 1.6 |
| Overall IT | 3,396 | 0.3 | 3,477 | 2.4 | 3,598 | 3.5 |
Source: Gartner (July 2017)
The worldwide enterprise software market is forecast to grow 7.6 percent in 2017, up from 5.3 percent growth in 2016. As software applications allow more organizations to derive revenue from digital business channels, there will be a stronger need to automate and release new applications and functionality.
“With the increased adoption of SaaS-based enterprise applications, there also comes an increase in acceptance of IT operations management (ITOM) tools that are also delivered from the cloud,” said Mr. Lovelock. “These cloud-based tools allow infrastructure and operations (I&O) organizations to more rapidly add functionality and adopt newer technologies to help them manage faster application release cycles. If the I&O team does not monitor and track the rapidly changing environment, it risks infrastructure and application service degradation, which ultimately impacts the end-user experience and can have financial as well as brand repercussions.”
IT spending increased in 2016, but only two of the top 10 IT vendors posted organic revenue growth. With revenue sources still tied to the Nexus of Forces (the convergence of social, mobility, cloud and information), some of the top 10 vendors will fare better in 2017 due to strength in mobile phone sales. Worldwide spending on devices (PCs, tablets, ultramobiles and mobile phones) is projected to grow 3.8 percent in 2017, to reach $654 billion. This is up from the previous quarter’s forecast of 1.7 percent. Mobile phone growth will be driven by increased average selling prices (ASPs) for premium phones in mature markets due to the 10th anniversary of the iPhone and the increased mix of basic phones over utility phones. However, the tablet market continues to decline, as replacement cycles remain extended.
Additional analysis is available in the complimentary webinar “IT Spending Forecast, 2Q17 Update: Game Changer with Digital Business and Data Centers.” During the webinar, Gartner analysts examine the trends driving IT spending growth in 2017 through 2021.
Gartner’s IT spending forecast methodology relies heavily on rigorous analysis of sales by thousands of vendors across the entire range of IT products and services. Gartner uses primary research techniques, complemented by secondary research sources, to build a comprehensive database of market size data on which to base its forecast.
The Gartner quarterly IT spending forecast delivers a unique perspective on IT spending across hardware, software, IT services and telecommunications segments. These reports help Gartner clients understand market opportunities and challenges. The most recent IT spending forecast research is available at Gartner Worldwide Spending Forecast. This quarterly IT Spending Forecast page includes links to the latest IT spending reports, webinars, blog posts and press releases.
